Wenn ich gar keine Vorstellungen darüber hätte, was demnächst passiert, könnte ich kaum handeln. Beipielsweise werde ich heute abend einen Vortrag besuchen, ich bin mir ziemlich sicher, dass diese Veranstaltung stattfinden wird, ich werde also aufs Rad steigen und zur Universität fahren um einem aus Bonn angereisten Philosophen zu lauschen.
Zu sagen, dass ich in Zukunft einem Philosophen aus Bonn bei einem Vortrag zuhören werde, klingt irgendwie unpassend, auch wenn diese Veranstaltung von jetzt aus gesehen „in der Zukunft liegt“.
Ich probier es einmal anders: In der Zukunft werden alle wholesale nfl jerseys meine Haare grau sein. Interessant, dass ich beim Schreiben dieses Satzes zunächst „In Zukunft…“ geschrieben cheap nfl jerseys shop hatte, aber das war nicht so treffend wie „In der Zukunft…“ Wenn ich letzteres sage, dann meine ich wohl, dass es einen Zeitpunkt geben wird, in dem das, was ich da sagte, wahr sein wird. Mit „In der Zukunft“ sage ich etwas über diese Tatsache aber nichts über die Zukunft.
Die Sätze, die auf diese Weise formuliert werden, sind meist uniteressant, weil sie gar keine neuen Erkenntnisse oakley sunglasses sale bringen. Es sind Selbstverständlichkeiten, erstaunlicherweise sind es eigentlich Erfahrungsaussagen über die Vergangenheit. Die Erfahrugn sagt mir, dass bei allen mit mir vergleichbaren Menschen die Haare irgendwann grau werden. Ich bin einer von ihnen, auch Wholesale nfl Jerseys das sagt meine Erfahrung – also werden auch meine Haare grau.
Über die Zukunft spreche ich also weder, wenn ich über die Dinge spreche, die recht nah zum aktuellen zeitpunkt liegen, noch, wenn es sich um einfache logische Schlussfolgerungen aus der Beobachtung der Vergangenheit, aus der Erfahrung handelt.
Zukunft ist, was nicht aus der Erfahrung folgt, was wir aber trotzdem erwarten. Mit welchem Recht? Alle wirklichen Zukunftsprognosen haben sich nicht erfüllt, weder die Utopien noch die Wachstumsprognosen der Wirtschaftsweisen. Nichts ist so ungewiss wie die Zukunft. Eine Prognose, dass alles beim Alten bleibt, wird zwar auch falsch sein (sie widerspricht der Erfahrung – etwa so wie die Behauptung, dass ich nicht ergrauen Krem werde) aber sie ist auch nicht falscher als die Vorhersage einer jeden konkreten Entwicklung.
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